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Five reasons why Republicans lost the US midterm elections

Five reasons why Republicans lost the US midterm elections
The Democratic Party has secured majorities in both chambers of the US Congress following the November 3 midterm elections, dealing a major political setback to President Donald Trump and the Republican Party. While the president’s party traditionally struggles in midterm elections, the scale of this defeat reflects widespread voter dissatisfaction with Trump’s policies during the first two years of his second term, according to political observers.
The BBC’s Russian Service has identified five key factors behind the Republican defeat, ranging from rising living costs and the war with Iran to the Democrats’ campaign strategy and shifting voter loyalties.
1. Rising prices and the cost-of-living crisis
Rising prices for everyday goods have become a major source of frustration for American voters. Their dissatisfaction was particularly evident at polling stations in key electoral districts and states.
«Gas is getting more expensive, groceries are getting more expensive, everything is getting more expensive!» a North Carolina voter who previously supported the Republicans but voted Democratic this time told the BBC.
Between September 2025 and September 2026, consumer prices in the United States rose by an average of 3,7%, with higher fuel costs contributing significantly to inflation.
According to official statistics cited in the report, the average retail price of diesel fuel reached a record 6.52 $ per gallon (1.72 $ per liter) in September. Prices declined slightly in October but remained high.
Exit polls showed that 79% of voters had experienced moderate or serious financial hardship because of inflation over the previous year. More than 60% blamed Trump and his policies for rising prices.
2. The unpopular war with Iran
The war with Iran, launched by the United States and Israel in late February 2026, has been another major factor behind the increase in living costs.
Iran’s effective blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments, has driven up energy prices, leaving American consumers facing higher costs at the pump.
Public opposition to the conflict has also grown.
According to Election Day polling, 63% of respondents believed the decision to launch military action against Iran was a mistake. Meanwhile, 74% said the war had been an important factor in deciding how to vote.
The conflict has also caused divisions within Trump’s Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement. Some of his most committed supporters believe the president, who campaigned on an «America First» platform, broke his promise to avoid new wars.
In an interview with Fox News the morning after the election, Trump acknowledged that the war had contributed to the Republican defeat. However, he defended his decision, arguing that military action had been necessary to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons.
3. A united Democratic campaign message
The Democrats’ success was also driven by candidates who managed to win voters’ trust, including in traditionally Republican states and districts.

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